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Michael Droy

one day your pulse will flatline...
Or the Nassim Taleb analogy
of the Turkey fed by the butcher for 1000 days but on day 1001...

Antonio Rinaldi

"there is a five percent chance that the vaccine may be useless even if a statistical significant difference is detected."
seems ambiguous to me; a clearer sentence could be:
"there is a five percent chance that a statistical significant difference is detected even if the vaccine is useless."


AR: Of course you're right about that. The second number is not five percent as stated. It's typically more than five percent if the second number is five percent. I'll reword it to remove this confusion.

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