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I strongly agree, and have long argued with friends, that network effects have a much stronger influence on the outcome of football games than the traditionally-measured factors of shots. It will be interesting to see how this research pans out.


Excellent article on the use of statistics in basketball.

JM Picks

Even the ESPN announcers are realizing that the statistics being printed on the screen have little to do with what is transpiring in the World Cup matches. In a recent match, I noted that ESPN showed or spoke about these statistics: number of shots, number of shots on target, possession time (as proportion of playing time), total number of touches (or passes), number of corners, number of miles run.

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