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Why not count predictions as a percentage, excluding abstentions?

(I hope inline images are supported; preview seems to think so)
The interesting thing is that 2015 is not declining in popularity, despite the fact we're running out of 2015.


To be clear, the Wall Street Journal line should read "Fed meeting participants have stopped pushing back the date at which they believe rates will rise".


There is actually little of interest in the data.

Exactly. I'm not one of those people who thinks that a reader should be able to decipher a data visualization in a few seconds. But if a data visualization does take more than a few seconds to understand, the payoff better be pretty great.

There's no such payoff here for a reader tenacious enough to try to figure this out.


Derek: I didn't look up whether "empty seats" are abstentions or literally empty seats. One situation in which I'd not count abstentions is if the by-laws say that you only need X% of those present to make a decision, no matter how low the attendance is.

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