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I love the fact that they say the model had a mixed record in recent years. It looks like a naive model (tomorrow = today) would beat it since 1995.


Looks to me that the model is the one lagging. Getting a high corr is no problem, getting a good "actual" forecast is a lot worse.

Two axis graps might be great, depends on the purpose.

As allways, there is some magic in the maker!


How far ahead was the model making its predictions? Wondering if someone would have the time to use the data to make stock trades. Also, I would have preferred the author spend $100 and follow the model and see what they have left in 2006. My guess is they would have gotten wiped out in the 90s.

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